Is America’s Existential Crisis Unsolvable?

The Trump regime has been in power for 15 months now, and its actions are becoming increasingly damaging for the country and the world. The start of the Iran war by rogue states US and Israel, in which a girls’ school has already been bombed (170 children dead) and U.S.-Israeli airstrikes on oil depots caused ‘acid rain’ poisoning the population, is only the latest in a long list of scandalous crimes and human tragedies.

There is certainly a loud call for Trump to be impeached, but despite a lot of talk of a rupture in the MAGA movement, he still has full support of MAGA and the Republican Party. That is despite all the campaign promises he has broken and crimes he has committed, including his name being mentioned in the Epstein files a million times.

What does that tell us about the state of the country? In short: America is cooked. A recent post by a MAGA canal really drove it home for me:

The post refers to a recent scandal in which it became known that Secretary of War Crimes Bourbon Pete Hegseth went on a mad spending spree at the Pentagon blowing millions on lobster and steak.

The way this message is framed is that if you are opposed to over-spending at the Pentagon, you are against American troops getting decent food. Even worse, if you’re against American soldiers getting fed lobster and steak, you are obviously in favor of spending huge amounts of money on insurance premiums for illegals.

The debate over public spending on undocumented immigrants is completely unrelated to Pentagon spending, but the division in the USA paints everything in a toxic black and white picture. Trump has amplified these tensions through persistent misinformation, inflammatory rhetoric, and the promotion of unfounded conspiracy theories.

A recent poll indicates how deep this distrust in American society goes:


A whopping 53 percent of Americans see their fellow citizens as immoral, and this is obvious from how they are portraying each other in the media. MAGA is condemned for supporting an obviously criminal and completely immoral president who is destroying democracy, while democrats are seen as evil people who want to overflow the country with illegal criminals and rapists. This has become such a widespread belief among a large part of the country that it will be hard to get them back from this – even if Trump would be gone.

And that’s the heart of the problem: Americans are now living in entirely separate realities, each shaped by fundamentally different value systems. Democrats generally believe America should strive to be a force for good – flawed as it may be – working to improve lives and promote democracy around the world, even if the execution isn’t always perfect. In contrast, the ‘America First’ ideology pushes for a vision rooted in white, Christian, male dominance, where the U.S. operates as an unapologetic superpower, taking what it can with little or no regard for others. Under this worldview, immigrants are not just excluded but actively demonized, treated as threats to be expelled or erased.

How do you convince the MAGA crowd that Trump and his party are only in it for personal gain, and their actions are severely damaging to the country in the short and especially the long term?

The media are a big part of the problem. Mainstream channels have chosen for Trump (like FOX ‘News’) or a middle of the road approach, which really doesn’t work in this environment. A newspaper headline, like ‘Trump wants to acquire Greenland’ really doesn’t reflect what is really going on: ‘Dictator Trump wants to aggressively annex Greenland with military force’.

So the media is not doing its job, and even worse, many Trump supporters now own all major media, especially after the recent acquisition of Warner Bros Discovery by Trumper Larry Ellison.

And this is one of the reasons I am so pessimistic about America’s future prospects. The media is extremely important to turn the tide, but the legacy media are not doing their job and social media (owned by Trump’s billionaire cronies) that monetize conflict are making things much much worse.

But it is far from the only problem. These are other major issues that make a turnaround in the short term very unlikely:

● The Republican party are the only ones who could really stop Trump, but they are not doing it. The old party – yes, they were assholes, but at least they had some independent thinking going on that would definitely be opposed to much of what Trump is doing – is dead. Trump has destroyed it, and they are now in it for 100 percent. No matter how insane their leader is, they won’t stop him.

● The democrats – while they have some good people – are far from united and they are not speaking with one voice. Take the Iran war, where is their reunited condemnation of this illegal war?

● The corporate political donor system is still very much in place. That means that not the American people, but the big corporations decide which policies will be implemented. At the same time, the concentration of wealth and a non-level playing field for the middle and working classes are turning American democracy into an oligarchy.

● The current U.S. Supreme Court is widely seen as both a reflection and an amplifier of the country’s deep political polarization. The Court now has six conservative justices and three liberal justices. This ideological split is the most pronounced in decades, and the Court’s rulings increasingly break along these lines. In recent terms, the number of cases decided by a purely partisan vote has tripled, while unanimous decisions have declined sharply. The Court’s rulings on issues like abortion (Dobbs), campaign finance, voting rights, and executive power have not only reflected, but also deepened political divisions. The Court’s growing alignment with partisan politics has led many Americans to view it less as an impartial legal institution and more as a political actor. This shift is evident in public opinion polls, where favorable views of the Court are near historic lows, especially among Democrats and younger Americans

What America needs is a huge turnaround, a systematic change in government and how it functions. I currently see no evidence of this happening. The focus is now – understandably – on winning the Mid Terms by democrats and then winning the 2028 election in order to stop Trump. And it will certainly be a relief to see Trump removed. If they can, and this is a huge if.

However, the problems mentioned above will still be there. Which democratic leader will really solve this mess? Bernie Sanders was that leader, but the dems thought nominating him was too risky. A new leader of that calibre has not yet emerged.

We have been here before. When Biden won the election in 2020 we were relieved. But 74 million people still voted Trump in 2020 even after his disastrous first term. Just as worrying: about 89 million eligible Americans did not vote in 2024, while the country was under threat by a fascist takeover by MAGA. That means the trust in politics to solve problems has sunk to rock bottom in the US.

Optimists note that the U.S. has navigated previous existential threats – including the Revolutionary and Civil Wars – suggesting a capacity to overcome deep crises.

That may well be, but I currently see no way out of the polarization, so my current analysis is that the American crisis is terminal. We, as Europeans, have to steadily derisk from the USA and realign ourselves with reliable partners, such as Canada.

Let’s hope that in the long term, the crisis is an opportunity for the US to address long-standing flaws (such as economic inequality or political dysfunction) and create a ‘new Renaissance’ or a more inclusive society.

But for now, this is unfortunately the status of the country:

😅

10 Writing Tips From Stephen King

Stephen King (1947) is a renowned American author celebrated as the ‘King of Horror’ for his iconic contributions to the genre. He has also explored other genres, among them suspense, crime, science-fiction, fantasy and mystery. King has published 65 novels/novellas, including seven under the pen name Richard Bachman, five non-fiction books, and approximately 200 short stories.

Now, a writer with such a huge body of work can surely give some advice to those of us who are attempting to write fiction or have that ambition. I myself have been considering it for a long time, and I still have that crazy dream of one day writing a masterpiece. But I don’t think I can. I am a web editor and that is a completely different game than writing fiction.

Nevertheless, if I do want to make an attempt to write any kind of fiction in the future, the book ‘Stephen King on Writing’ – a lovely gift from my wife Loesje – is my must-read guide. It gave me much clarity on how to approach the process if I ever want to have a serious go at it. Below are ten tips for aspiring writers, who are serious about completing a work of fiction that will actually please their readers.

01) Start with story
Starting your novel with thematic concerns (like I always do ;-)) is a bad idea, believes King. Good fiction always begins with story and then progresses to theme. Another important belief of King is that stories are found things, like fossils. Stories pretty much make themselves. It is the job of the writer to give them a place to grow (and to transcribe them of course). Use your whole writer’s toolbox as well as you can to get as much of the fossil out of the ground in the best possible state.

02) Read, read, read
To become a good writer, there is really no way around this one. You must read vigorously. King: ‘We read to experience the mediocre and the outright rotten; such experience helps us to recognize those things when they begin to creep into our own work.’ Good writing, on the other hand, teached the learning writer about style, graceful narration, plot development, the creation of believable characters and truth-telling. Reading is the creative center of a writer’s life. ‘Do it because you enjoy it.’

03) Practice, practice, practice
Same thing as reading, you must write a lot to succeed. ‘If you want to be a writer, you must do two things above all others: read a lot and write a lot. There’s no way around those two things that I’m aware of, no shortcut.’ So there you have it.

04) Work on your book every day
One of the things that makes writing novels so different from writing articles or essays or even making magazines, is that you have to approach it like a day job. Except it shouldn’t feel like a job. King cranks out a novel in three months’ time, and he does that by showing up every day in his room and spending hours there behind his writing desk. I erroneously thought I could write my great novel in bars, cars, toilets, trains, in-between moments, et cetera, but that’s not possible. I have been able to do that with my essays on Free-Consciousness, but with a novel it simply won’t work.

To succeed, you must work on your book every day, writes Stephen King: ‘Once I start work on a project, I don’t stop and I don’t slow down unless I absolutely have to. If I don’t write every day, the characters begin to stale off in my mind – they begin to seem like characters instead of real people. The tale’s narrative cutting edge starts to rust and I begin to lose my hold on the story’s plot and pace. Worst of all, the excitement of spinning something new begins to fade. The work starts to feel like work.’

05) Keep the reader on your mind
Again, focussing on story is one of the most important tasks as a writer. If you want to achieve satisfying an audience with your book, that is. ‘Book buyers want a good story to take with them on the airplane, something that will first fascinate them, then pull them in and then will keep them turning the pages. Your reader must always be your main concern: without Constant Reader, you are just a voice quicking in the void.’

06) Focus on paragraphs
King argues that the paragraph, not the sentence, is the basic unit of writing – the place where coherence begins and words stand a chance of becoming more than mere words. It is a marvelous and flexible instrument that can be a single word long or run on for pages. You must learn to use it well if you are to write well. In fiction, the paragraph is less structured – it’s the beat instead of the actual melody. The more fiction you read and write, the more you’ll find your paragraphs forming on their own. And that’s what you want. When composing it’s best not to think too much about where paragraphs begin and end, the trick is to let nature take its course.

07) Avoid the passive tense and don’t use dialogue attribution
‘Stephen King on Writing’ also contains some style tips of which these two are especially important. First of all, avoid the passive tense. Don’t write: The meeting will be held at seven o’clock. Write instead: The meeting’s at seven. Don’t write: The body was carried from the kitchen and placed on the sofa. Write instead: Freddie and Myra carried the body out of the kitchen and laid it on the parlor sofa. Another tool that is often misused is dialogue attribution. Don’t do it, says King.

‘Put it down’, she shouted menacingly.
‘Give it back’, he pleaded abjectly, ‘it’s mine.’
‘Don’t be such a fool, Jekyll’, Utterson said contemptuously.

Just resist the temptation and write he said, she said.

08) Use descriptive writing in the right way
A description, according to the master, begins with a visualisation of what it is. ‘You want your reader to experience. It ends with translating what you see in your mind into words on the page.’ Don’t underdo it and don’t overdo it: ‘Thin description leaves your reader feeling bewildered and nearsighted. Overdescription buries him or her in details and images. The trick is to find a happy medium.’

09) Make good use of rewriting
His first editor – John Gould – gave young Stephen a tip on a sports article he wrote: ‘When you write a story, you’re telling yourself the story. When you rewrite, your main job is taking things out that are not the story.’ When rewriting your first draft, it should be possible to take out 10 percent.

Gould added something else that was interesting. ‘Write with your door closed, rewrite with you door open.’ Your stuff starts out being just for you. But once you know what the story is and get it right, it belongs to anyone who wants to read it. ‘Or criticize it.’

When you have completed the first draft of your book, leave it alone for at least six weeks, King advises. Because then you have some more distance between your work and your authorship, you can more easily delete or rewrite passages. Then hand out the books to about eight proofreaders and let them criticize it.

10) Keep on going
A lesson King learned from almost abandoning his breakthrough novel ‘Carrie’ – which enabled him to pursue a career as a full-time novelist – is that ‘stepping away from a piece of work just because it’s hard, either emotionally or imaginatively, is a bad idea. Sometimes you have to go on when you don’t feel like it, and sometimes, you’re doing good work when it feels like all you’re managing is to shovel shit from a sitting position.’

Conclusion
Taking all this in, I wondered if this is really the thing for me. Besides the practical advice, King’s book is also like a confrontational eye-opener for dreamers like me. Is this really the sort of thing that I want to do and that I am able to do? The sort of strenuous reading and writing program King advocates – four to six hours a day, every day – will not seem strenuous if you really enjoy doing these things and have an appetite for them.

So that will be the litmus test for me if I ever want to attempt (again) to write a novel: will I really enjoy going through this process? If not, then just fuhgeddaboudit.

Read also: How to Write a Television Series

Verdoofde zinnen (de relatie tussen schrijvers en alcohol)

“It shrinks my liver, doesn’t it, Nat? It pickles my kidneys, yes. But what does it do to my mind? It tosses the sandbags overboard so the balloon can soor. Suddenly, I’m above the ordinary. I’m confident, supremely confident. I’m walking a tightrope over Niagara Falls. I’m one of the great ones. I’m Michelangelo molding the beard of Moses. I’m van Gogh painting pure sunlight. I’m Horowitz playing the Emperor Concerto, I’m John Barrymore before the movies got him by the throat. I’m Jesse James and his two brothers. All three of them! I’m W. Shakespeare.”
– Don Birnam in The Lost Weekend

Drinken schrijvers en journalisten meer dan mensen in andere beroepen? Mijn gut feeling zegt van wel. Er zijn natuurlijk wel vele voorbeelden van beroemde schrijvers met een drankprobleem – waaronder Scott Fitzgerald, Ernest Hemingway, Tennessee Williams, Truman Capote, Hunter S. Thompson, Jack Kerouac, Charles Bukowski, Stephen King, Aldous Huxley en Raymond Chandler – dus die kunnen mijn vooroordeel versterken.

Echter, er is ook wetenschappelijk onderzoek gedaan. Uit de ‘Study into The Mental Resilience of Journalists’ onder journalisten, verslaggevers en omroeporganisaties blijkt dat mediatypen meer alcohol drinken en mogelijk meer moeite hebben hun emoties onder controle te houden. In een artikel over het onderzoek werd een verklaring gezocht in het feit dat journalisten zich voor hun werk regelmatig in gevaarlijke situaties begeven, zoals bij het verslag doen van oorlogen, maar het is een zeer klein percentage van de reporters die dit werk daadwerkelijk doen. De meeste journalisten zijn tegenwoordig bureauredacteuren, een trend versterkt wordt door de krimpende redactiebudgetten en de technologie die werken op afstand mogelijk maakt.

Maar wat veroorzaakt dan wel dat hoge percentage alcoholisten onder deze beroepsgroep? Ik heb drie mogelijke verklaringen. De eerste is de aantrekkingskracht van het beroep op een bepaald persoonlijkheidstype. De decaan op de School voor Journalistiek in Zwolle vertelde me dat de instroom van studenten met psychische klachten in de studie journalistiek bovengemiddeld hoog is. Ik had dat zelf al wel gemerkt in de groep waar ik in terechtkwam, en was zelf dat jaar (2001) nou ook niet echt op mijn psychische best. Waarom het beroep deze aantrekkingskracht heeft op de psychisch minder stabiele groep weet ik niet. Misschien is het de mogelijkheid je te verdiepen in menselijke ellende en vooral de maatschappelijke problemen… Immers, media berichten hoofdzakelijk over alles wat niet goed gaat. Of misschien is schrijven en onderzoeken net als drinken en drugs gebruiken wel een manier om de leegte van het bestaan niet te hoeven ervaren.

Een tweede verklaring is werkdruk. Als schrijver / journalist wordt er toch een bepaalde creatieve prestatie van je verwacht binnen een bepaald tijdskader. Een paar biertjes, glazen wijn of whiskey kunnen je net dat zetje geven dat je nodig hebt om aan de verwachtingen te voldoen. De derde verklaring is de drinkcultuur van vele media-organisaties wat bevestigd wordt in het eerder genoemde onderzoek. Geen wonder dat er vaak een turbulent huwelijk ontstaat tussen de schrijvende mens en de fles.

Mijn eigen drinken was vooral tijdens de coronacrisis behoorlijk opgelopen door de toegenomen werkdruk en het compleet vervagen van de grenzen tussen doordeweeks en weekend. Ook daarna dronk ik gemiddeld wel vijf dagen per week en regelmatig meer dan een paar biertjes. Ook ben ik geen vreemde van leegte en zoek ik regelmatig naar een creatieve boost, zoals Don Birnam (zie citaat hierboven).

Maar tegenwoordig kan ik ook soms zonder die stimulans de nodige inspiratie vinden. Ik heb door mijn main issues heen gewerkt en heb minder leegte te vullen. Ik heb mijn bubbel verlaten. Toch blijft de verleiding altijd bestaan. Niks kan je zo in de flow brengen als een tot de rand gevuld glas rode wijn of een goudgele rakker op mijn bureau terwijl ik als een bezetene op de toetsen van mijn toetsenbord ram. Daarom heb ik op dit moment gesetteld voor een knipperlichtrelatie.

Release: M&A Trendonderzoek 2024

Op de dag dat The Beatles uitkomen met hun laatste nummer ooit, breng ik ook iets naar buiten: het laatste M&A Trendonderzoek. En over The Beatles gesproken, dit is wel de ‘Sgt. Pepper’s Lonely Hearts Club Band’ van de Nederlandse M&A Trendonderzoeken, al zeg ik het zelf.

De afgelopen maanden deden we een online onderzoek onder 247 M&A-professionals en interviewden ik en een aantal collega’s 28 dealmakers live. Het resultaat is een zo compleet mogelijk beeld van de M&A-markt met alle kansen en uitdagingen die de rainmakers op dit moment zien en ervaren. In het digitale magazine – een heel tof format, check it out – komen al hun inzichten bij elkaar.

De markt voor fusies en overnames is sterk verbonden aan de algehele economie. Wanneer het vertrouwen laag is, zijn er minder overnames. Wel gaan private equity-investeerders altijd door met kopen en verkopen omdat ze de pot geld die ze beheren na een bepaalde periode weer moeten terugbetalen aan hun investeerders (plus rendement), dus geduldig wachten zit niet in hun dna. Wel zijn ook deze investeerders een stuk voorzichtiger geworden.

Het vertrouwen is hoger dan vorig jaar toen Rusland de Oekraïne binnenviel. Inmiddels zijn de hoge energieprijzen en de inflatie minder onzekere factoren geworden, maar er zijn nog genoeg ‘wild cards’ voor overnamejaar 2024. Er kan een economische recessie uitbreken die veel dieper gaat dan voorzien. Maar nog ernstiger zijn escalerende geopolitieke conflicten. Een van de zwartste voorbeelden is de herverkiezing van Donald Trump in 2024 die vervolgens uit de NAVO besluit te stappen. Een feest voor Poetin en een ramp voor Oekraïne en Europa.

Kortom, het wordt ongetwijfeld een veelbewogen jaar, maar hopelijk zonder die hele grote incidenten zoals hierboven geschetst. Met Israël-Palestina, Rusland-Oekraïne, de klimaatcrisis, en de impact van nieuwe technologieën zoals AI hebben we meer dan genoeg om handen.

Klik op het onderstaande icoon om het M&A Trendmagazine 2024 te bekijken.